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1.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 10775, 2024 05 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38730261

RESUMO

Accurate short-term predictions of COVID-19 cases with empirical models allow Health Officials to prepare for hospital contingencies in a two-three week window given the delay between case reporting and the admission of patients in a hospital. We investigate the ability of Gompertz-type empiric models to provide accurate prediction up to two and three weeks to give a large window of preparation in case of a surge in virus transmission. We investigate the stability of the prediction and its accuracy using bi-weekly predictions during the last trimester of 2020 and 2021. Using data from 2020, we show that understanding and correcting for the daily reporting structure of cases in the different countries is key to accomplish accurate predictions. Furthermore, we found that filtering out predictions that are highly unstable to changes in the parameters of the model, which are roughly 20%, reduces strongly the number of predictions that are way-off. The method is then tested for robustness with data from 2021. We found that, for this data, only 1-2% of the one-week predictions were off by more than 50%. This increased to 3% for two-week predictions, and only for three-week predictions it reached 10%.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Fatores de Tempo , Modelos Estatísticos
2.
Rev Neurol ; 72(8): 263-268, 2021 Apr 16.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33851715

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Eslicarbazepine acetate is a novel sodium channel blocker for use in the treatment of focal onset seizures. Prospective studies on its effectiveness in monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed partial epilepsy in routine clinical practice are scarce. AIM: To evaluate the effectiveness of eslicarbazepine as initial monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed partial epilepsy in routine clinical practice. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A prospective, multicentre, post-authorisation study. Patients with newly diagnosed partial epilepsy aged 18 years or older without previous treatment were included. The efficacy variables were: percentage of seizure-free patients, responders and reduction in monthly frequency of seizures. The safety variables analyse the 12-month retention rate and the occurrence of adverse effects. RESULTS: Fifty-three patients were included. The retention rate was 77.4%. At the end of the observation period, 83% of patients were seizure-free and 92.5% had reduced their baseline frequency by 50% or more. In addition, 68% of the patients reported some adverse effect and 7.5% of them dropped out of the study for this reason. The effectiveness analysis of the subgroup of patients aged 65 years or more showed no differences with respect to the overall population. CONCLUSION: Eslicarbazepine monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed partial epilepsy, both in the general population and in the population over 65 years old, is effective and safe in routine clinical practice.


TITLE: Alzemon: estudio de seguimiento prospectivo del acetato de eslicarbacepina en monoterapia en pacientes con epilepsia de diagnóstico reciente.Introducción. El acetato de eslicarbacepina es un nuevo bloqueante de los canales de sodio en el tratamiento de las crisis de inicio focal. Los estudios prospectivos sobre su efectividad en monoterapia en pacientes con epilepsia parcial de reciente diagnóstico en la práctica clínica habitual son escasos. Objetivo. Evaluar la efectividad de la eslicarbacepina en monoterapia de inicio en pacientes con epilepsia parcial de reciente diagnóstico en la práctica clínica habitual. Pacientes y métodos. Estudio postautorización prospectivo y multicéntrico. Se incluyó a pacientes con epilepsia parcial de reciente diagnóstico de 18 años o más sin tratamiento previo. Las variables de eficacia fueron: porcentaje de pacientes libres de crisis, respondedores y reducción en la frecuencia mensual de crisis. Las variables de seguridad analizan la tasa de retención a los 12 meses y la aparición de efectos adversos. Resultados. Se incluyó a 53 pacientes. La tasa de retención fue del 77,4%. Al final del período de observación, el 83% de los pacientes se encontraba libre de crisis y el 92,5% había reducido en un 50% o más su frecuencia basal. El 68% de los pacientes notificó algún efecto adverso y el 7,5% de ellos abandonó el estudio por este motivo. El análisis de efectividad del subgrupo de 65 años o más no mostró diferencias respecto a la población global. Conclusión. La eslicarbacepina en monoterapia en pacientes con epilepsia parcial de reciente diagnóstico, tanto en la población general como en la población de más de 65 años, es eficaz y segura en la práctica clínica habitual.


Assuntos
Anticonvulsivantes/uso terapêutico , Dibenzazepinas/uso terapêutico , Epilepsia/tratamento farmacológico , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos
3.
Rev. neurol. (Ed. impr.) ; 72(8): 263-268, Abr 16, 2021. tab, graf, ilus
Artigo em Espanhol | IBECS | ID: ibc-227868

RESUMO

Introducción: El acetato de eslicarbacepina es un nuevo bloqueante de los canales de sodio en el tratamiento de las crisis de inicio focal. Los estudios prospectivos sobre su efectividad en monoterapia en pacientes con epilepsia parcia l de reciente diagnóstico en la práctica clínica habitual son escasos.Objetivo: Evaluar la efectividad de la eslicarbacepina en monoterapia de inicio en pacientes con epilepsia parcial de reciente diagnóstico en la práctica clínica habitual.Pacientes y métodos: Estudio postautorización prospectivo y multicéntrico. Se incluyó a pacientes con epilepsia parcial de reciente diagnóstico de 18 años o más sin tratamiento previo. Las variables de eficacia fueron: porcentaje de pacientes libres de crisis, respondedores y reducción en la frecuencia mensual de crisis. Las variables de seguridad analizan la tasa de retención a los 12 meses y la aparición de efectos adversos.Resultados: Se incluyó a 53 pacientes. La tasa de retención fue del 77,4%. Al final del período de observación, el 83% de los pacientes se encontraba libre de crisis y el 92,5% había reducido en un 50% o más su frecuencia basal. El 68% de los pacientes notificó algún efecto adverso y el 7,5% de ellos abandonó el estudio por este motivo. El análisis de efectividad del subgrupo de 65 años o más no mostró diferencias respecto a la población global.Conclusión: La eslicarbacepina en monoterapia en pacientes con epilepsia parcial de reciente diagnóstico, tanto en la población general como en la población de más de 65 años, es eficaz y segura en la práctica clínica habitual.(AU)


Introduction: Eslicarbazepine acetate is a novel sodium channel blocker for use in the treatment of focal onset seizures. Prospective studies on its effectiveness in monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed partial epilepsy in routine clinical practice are scarce. Aim: To evaluate the effectiveness of eslicarbazepine as initial monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed partial epilepsy in routine clinical practice. Patients and methods: A prospective, multicentre, post-authorisation study. Patients with newly diagnosed partial epilepsy aged 18 years or older without previous treatment were included. The efficacy variables were: percentage of seizure-free patients, responders and reduction in monthly frequency of seizures. The safety variables analyse the 12-month retention rate and the occurrence of adverse effects. Results: Fifty-three patients were included. The retention rate was 77.4%. At the end of the observation period, 83% of patients were seizure-free and 92.5% had reduced their baseline frequency by 50% or more. In addition, 68% of the patients reported some adverse effect and 7.5% of them dropped out of the study for this reason. The effectiveness analysis of the subgroup of patients aged 65 years or more showed no differences with respect to the overall population. Conclusion: Eslicarbazepine monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed partial epilepsy, both in the general population and in the population over 65 years old, is effective and safe in routine clinical practice.(AU)


Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticonvulsivantes/uso terapêutico , Epilepsia/tratamento farmacológico , Neurologia , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso , Convulsões , Estudos Prospectivos
4.
Stat Methods Med Res ; 24(2): 206-23, 2015 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21873301

RESUMO

Considerable effort has been devoted to the development of statistical algorithms for the automated monitoring of influenza surveillance data. In this article, we introduce a framework of models for the early detection of the onset of an influenza epidemic which is applicable to different kinds of surveillance data. In particular, the process of the observed cases is modelled via a Bayesian Hierarchical Poisson model in which the intensity parameter is a function of the incidence rate. The key point is to consider this incidence rate as a normal distribution in which both parameters (mean and variance) are modelled differently, depending on whether the system is in an epidemic or non-epidemic phase. To do so, we propose a hidden Markov model in which the transition between both phases is modelled as a function of the epidemic state of the previous week. Different options for modelling the rates are described, including the option of modelling the mean at each phase as autoregressive processes of order 0, 1 or 2. Bayesian inference is carried out to provide the probability of being in an epidemic state at any given moment. The methodology is applied to various influenza data sets. The results indicate that our methods outperform previous approaches in terms of sensitivity, specificity and timeliness.


Assuntos
Epidemias , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Modelos Estatísticos , Teorema de Bayes , Bioestatística , Surtos de Doenças , Epidemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Internet , Cadeias de Markov , Método de Monte Carlo , Distribuição de Poisson , Probabilidade , Ferramenta de Busca , Vigilância de Evento Sentinela , Espanha/epidemiologia
5.
J Food Prot ; 74(1): 55-62, 2011 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21219763

RESUMO

Carvacrol and eugenol were encapsulated in micellar nonionic surfactant solutions to increase active component concentrations in the aqueous phase and used to treat two strains of Listeria monocytogenes (Scott A and 101) and two strains of Escherichia coli O157:H7 (4388 and 43895) grown as biofilms in a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reactor. L. monocytogenes biofilms were grown in two different growth media, 1:20 TSB and Modified Welshimer's broth (MWB), while E. coli O157:H7 was grown in M9. In general, L. monocytogenes strains were more resistant to both micelle-encapsulated antimicrobials than E. coli O157:H7 strains. The two antimicrobials were equally effective against both strains of E. coli O157:H7, decreasing viable counts by 3.5 to 4.8 log CFU/cm(2) within 20 min. For both bacteria, most of the bactericidal activity took place in the first 10 min of antimicrobial exposure. Biofilm morphology and viability were assessed by the BacLight RedoxSensor CTC Vitality kit and confocal scanning laser microscopy, revealing an increasing number of dead cells when biofilms were treated with sufficiently high concentrations of carvacrol- or eugenol-loaded micelles. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of the application of surfactant-encapsulated essential oil components on two pathogen biofilm formers such as E. coli O157:H7 and L. monocytogenes grown on stainless steel coupons.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Escherichia coli O157/efeitos dos fármacos , Eugenol/farmacologia , Contaminação de Alimentos/prevenção & controle , Listeria monocytogenes/efeitos dos fármacos , Monoterpenos/farmacologia , Biofilmes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Contagem de Colônia Microbiana , Qualidade de Produtos para o Consumidor , Cimenos , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Escherichia coli O157/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Escherichia coli O157/fisiologia , Microbiologia de Alimentos , Conservação de Alimentos/métodos , Humanos , Listeria monocytogenes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Listeria monocytogenes/fisiologia , Micelas , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Viabilidade Microbiana , Aço Inoxidável
6.
J Food Prot ; 69(12): 2947-54, 2006 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17186663

RESUMO

The antimicrobial efficacy of carvacrol and eugenol, two essential oil compounds, encapsulated in a micellar nonionic surfactant solution on four strains of Listeria monocytogenes (Scott A, 101, 108, and 310) and four strains of Escherichia coli O157:H7 (H1730, E0019, F4546, and 932) growing as colony biofilms was investigated. Carvacrol and eugenol were encapsulated in Surfynol 485W at concentrations ranging from 0.3 to 0.9% (wt/wt) at a surfactant concentration of 5% (wt/wt). Colony biofilms were grown on polycarbonate membranes resting on agar plates containing antimicrobial formulations. Cells were enumerated after 0, 3, 6, 9, 24, 48, and 72 h of incubation. Colony biofilms of all E. coli O157:H7 strains were more sensitive to both antimicrobial systems than L. monocytogenes strains. Surface-grown E. coli O157:H7 viable cell numbers decreased below detectable levels after exposure to encapsulated essential oil compounds for > 3 h at all tested concentrations, except for E. coli O157:H7 F4546, which grew slowly in the presence of < 0.5% (wt/wt) eugenol. L. monocytogenes Scott A and 101 were more resistant to eugenol than carvacrol at sublethal concentrations (< 0.5% [wt/wt]). Carvacrol was effective at any concentration against L. monocytogenes 108, whereas concentrations of > 0.5% (wt/wt) eugenol were required for inactivation. L. monocytogenes 310 was equally sensitive to both essential oil compounds. Results suggest that surfactant-encapsulated generally recognized as safe essential oil compounds may offer a new means to control the growth of food pathogens such as E. coli O157:H7 and L. monocytogenes on food contact surfaces.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Qualidade de Produtos para o Consumidor , Escherichia coli O157/efeitos dos fármacos , Conservação de Alimentos/métodos , Listeria monocytogenes/efeitos dos fármacos , Biofilmes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Contagem de Colônia Microbiana , Cimenos , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Escherichia coli O157/fisiologia , Eugenol , Microbiologia de Alimentos , Listeria monocytogenes/fisiologia , Micelas , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Monoterpenos , Fatores de Tempo
7.
Rev Esp Quimioter ; 19(3): 258-66, 2006 Sep.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17099794

RESUMO

The incidence of multidrug-resistant Enterococcus faecium is increasing despite advances in antibacterial therapy. Thus, new antibiotics are required to treat hospital- or community-acquired infections caused by these multidrug-resistant organisms. The aim of this study was to compare the therapeutic efficacy of quinupristin-dalfopristin (QD) alone, or in combination with gentamicin (G), teicoplanin (T), imipenem (I) or levofloxacin (L) against a strain of multidrug-resistant E. faecium in an experimental model of aortic valve endocarditis in rabbits. The study group consisted of 28 control animals. Eighty-two animals were treated with one of the following antibiotic regimens: G1: 18 animals QD (30 mg/kg/8 h); G2: 18 animals QD+G (6 mg/kg/12 h); G3: 16 animals QD+T (20 mg/kg/12 h); G4: 14 animals QD+I (60 mg/kg/8 h); and G5: 16 animals QD+L (20 mg/kg/12 h). The response to therapy was determined by the comparison of the number of CFU/g of E. faecium in each vegetation. In vitro, time-kill studies looking for synergy for the combinations that showed better efficacy in vivo were done. The sensitivity of the strain was intermediate to QD, resistant to T and I, and sensitive to L. There was no high-level resistance to G. QD alone revealed a significant decrease (p <0.001) in the CFU/g in the control group (9.49 vs. 7.31). There were no differences in the average of CFU/g between the QD alone (G1), QD+G (G2) and QD+T (G3) groups. These three groups revealed a significant difference in decrease of CFU/g respect of the group control (p <0.001). There were no differences in the average of CFU/g between QD+I (G4) and QD+T (G5). These two groups revealed the greatest decrease in average CFU/g (G4: 4.38 and G5: 4.04) with differences respect of the group control (p <0.0001) and respect of the groups G1, G2 and G3 (p <0.001). We did not detect any alteration of MIC from QD in the course of the treatment for either of the final isolations. Only the time kill corresponding to concentrations of I 32 mg/l (0.25 x MIC) and QD 1 mg/l (0.25 x MIC presents a descending slope in the curve at 4 and 8 h, suggesting an early synergy phenomenon, which was lost after 8 h. In light of these results, the combination QD with I and L may be considered suitable alternatives for the treatment of multiresistant E. faecium.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Endocardite Bacteriana/tratamento farmacológico , Enterococcus faecium/efeitos dos fármacos , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/tratamento farmacológico , Virginiamicina/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Animais , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Quimioterapia Combinada , Endocardite Bacteriana/microbiologia , Enterococcus faecium/isolamento & purificação , Feminino , Gentamicinas/uso terapêutico , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/microbiologia , Humanos , Imipenem/uso terapêutico , Levofloxacino , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Ofloxacino/uso terapêutico , Coelhos , Teicoplanina/uso terapêutico
8.
Foodborne Pathog Dis ; 3(3): 259-65, 2006.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16972774

RESUMO

Many of the current studies on the genetic diversity of Escherichia coli O157:H7 have focused on pathogenic clinical, veterinary, or food isolates. These studies did not explore the diversity of the larger population in the farm environment. Research on selected farm isolates address this wider diversity but have typically been limited to a specific geographic locale or farm type, thus giving limited insight into the greater diversity across geographic regions and varied environments. The objective of this study was to evaluate a diverse population of E. coli O157:H7 collected from a variety of locations and farm environments. Eighty-eight isolates were collected from four farm types (swine, dairy, beef, and poultry) across the southeastern and western United States. Eighteen farms were sampled every 3 months over a period of 24 months. Isolates were analyzed by ribotyping and pulsed field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). Real-time PCR was used to determine the presence or absence of key pathogenic genes (stx1, stx2, and eae). The data indicate a significant amount of genetic diversity, however, ribotype analysis revealed meaningful clusters within the larger population. These groupings were consistent with PFGE analysis. Most of these isolates were clustered by location (i.e. from the same state or region) or farm type. Of the isolates in these clusters, most did not contain pathogenic genes. Of notable interest is a single group in which the majority of isolates, collected from four of the five states sampled, contained at least one stx gene and the eae gene suggesting the existence of a specific pathogenic cluster. These data suggest that, while there is notable diversity within the broader E. coli O157:H7 population, pathogenic isolates may be limited to a subset of strains within the population.


Assuntos
Microbiologia Ambiental , Escherichia coli O157/classificação , Escherichia coli O157/genética , Variação Genética , Filogenia , Fatores de Virulência/análise , Criação de Animais Domésticos/métodos , Animais , Análise por Conglomerados , Eletroforese em Gel de Campo Pulsado , Escherichia coli O157/patogenicidade , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Ribotipagem , Toxinas Shiga/biossíntese , Sudeste dos Estados Unidos , Sudoeste dos Estados Unidos
9.
Rev. esp. quimioter ; 19(3): 258-266, sept. 2006. tab, graf
Artigo em Es | IBECS | ID: ibc-050284

RESUMO

La incidencia de infecciones por Enterococcus faecium multirresistentes va aumentando a pesar de los avances que se han producido en antibioticoterapia.Por ello, se necesitan nuevos antibióticos para tratar las infecciones nosocomiales o comunitarias causadas por este microorganismo.El objetivo principal del presente estudio fue comparar la eficacia de quinupristina-dalfopristina (QD), sola o combinada con gentamicina(G), teicoplanina (T), imipenem (I) o levofloxacino (L), en un modelo de endocarditis experimental en conejos por E. faecium multirresistente.Se utilizaron 110 animales, 28 como grupo control y 82 como grupos terapéuticos, que fueron G1: 18 animales con QD (30mg/kg/8 h); G2: 18 con QD+G (6 mg/kg/12 h); G3: 16 con QD+T (20 mg/kg/12 h); G4: 14 con QD+I (60 mg/kg/8 h); y G5: 16 con QD+L(20 mg/kg/12 h). Se valoró la respuesta terapéutica comparando la concentración de E. faecium en las vegetaciones cardiacas expresada comolog10 de las unidades formadoras de colonias por gramo de tejido (UFC/g). Se realizaron pruebas de cinética de letalidad bacteriana paralas asociaciones que mostraron mejor comportamiento in vivo: QD + I y QD + L. El patrón de sensibilidad de la cepa utilizada fue: sensiblepara L, intermedia para QD, resistente para T e I, y sin resistencia de alto grado para G. El tratamiento con QD logró una reducción significativa(p <0.001) en las UFC/g respecto al grupo control (9,49 frente a 7,31). No hubo diferencias significativas entre los grupos G1 (QDsola), G2 (QD + G) y G3 (QD + T), consiguiendo estos tres grupos una redución significativa respecto del grupo control (p <0.001). No hubodiferencias entre G4 (QD + I) y G5 (QD + L). Estos dos grupos se mostraron como los más eficaces en reducir la media de UFC/g en lasvegetaciones cardiacas (G4: 4,38 y G5: 4,04), con p <0.0001 respecto al grupo control y p <0.001 respecto a G1, G2 y G3. No se detectóningún cambio en la CMI de QD durante el tratamiento. Sólo la curva de letalidad correspondiente a la concentración de I de 32 mg/l (0,25x CMI) con QD 1 mg/l (0,25 x CMI) presentó una curva descendente a las 4 y 8 horas, sugiriendo una sinergia precoz que se perdió a las 8 horas.A la vista de estos resultados, la combinación de QD con I o L podría considerarse como alternativa terapéutica en la endocarditis porE. faecium multirresistente


The incidence of multidrug-resistant Enterococcus faecium is increasing despite advances in antibacterial therapy. Thus, new antibiotics arerequired to treat hospital- or community-acquired infections caused by these multidrug-resistant organisms. The aim of this study was tocompare the therapeutic efficacy of quinupristin-dalfopristin (QD) alone, or in combination with gentamicin (G), teicoplanin (T), imipenem(I) or levofloxacin (L) against a strain of multidrug-resistant E. faecium in an experimental model of aortic valve endocarditis in rabbits. Thestudy group consisted of 28 control animals. Eighty-two animals were treated with one of the following antibiotic regimens: G1: 18 animalsQD (30 mg/kg/8 h); G2: 18 animals QD+G (6 mg/kg/12 h); G3: 16 animals QD+T (20 mg/kg/12 h); G4: 14 animals QD+I (60 mg/kg/8 h);and G5: 16 animals QD+L (20 mg/kg/12 h). The response to therapy was determined by the comparison of the number of CFU/g of E. faeciumin each vegetation. In vitro, time-kill studies looking for synergy for the combinations that showed better efficacy in vivo were done.The sensitivity of the strain was intermediate to QD, resistant to T and I, and sensitive to L. There was no high-level resistance to G. QD alonerevealed a significant decrease (p <0.001) in the CFU/g in the control group (9.49 vs. 7.31). There were no differences in the average of CFU/gbetween the QD alone (G1), QD+G (G2) and QD+T (G3) groups. These three groups revealed a significant difference in decrease of CFU/grespect of the group control (p <0.001). There were no differences in the average of CFU/g between QD+I (G4) and QD+T (G5). These twogroups revealed the greatest decrease in average CFU/g (G4: 4.38 and G5: 4.04) with differences respect of the group control (p <0.0001)and respect of the groups G1, G2 and G3 (p <0.001). We did not detect any alteration of MIC from QD in the course of the treatment for eitherof the final isolations. Only the time kill corresponding to concentrations of I 32 mg/l (0.25 x MIC) and QD 1 mg/l (0.25 x MIC presents adescending slope in the curve at 4 and 8 h, suggesting an early synergy phenomenon, which was lost after 8 h. In light of these results, thecombination QD with I and L may be considered suitable alternatives for the treatment of multiresistant E. faecium


Assuntos
Animais , Feminino , Idoso , Coelhos , Humanos , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Endocardite Bacteriana/tratamento farmacológico , Enterococcus faecium , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/tratamento farmacológico , Teicoplanina/uso terapêutico , Virginiamicina/uso terapêutico , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Quimioterapia Combinada , Endocardite Bacteriana/microbiologia , Enterococcus faecium/isolamento & purificação , Gentamicinas/uso terapêutico , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/microbiologia , Imipenem/uso terapêutico , Ofloxacino/uso terapêutico , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana
10.
Stat Med ; 25(2): 345-58, 2006 Jan 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16220471

RESUMO

In this paper we analyse the renal transplant waiting list of the País Valencià in Spain, using Queueing theory. The customers of this queue are patients with end-stage renal failure waiting for a kidney transplant. We set up a simplified model to represent the flow of the customers through the system, and perform Bayesian inference to estimate parameters in the model. Finally, we consider several scenarios by tuning the estimations achieved and computationally simulate the behaviour of the queue under each one. The results indicate that the system could reach equilibrium at some point in the future and the model forecasts a slow decrease in the size of the waiting list in the short and middle term.


Assuntos
Teorema de Bayes , Transplante de Rim , Teoria de Sistemas , Listas de Espera , Humanos , Espanha
11.
An. vet. Murcia ; 20: 5-20, ene.-dic. 2004. tab, graf, ilus
Artigo em Espanhol | IBECS | ID: ibc-125968

RESUMO

Dado el actual creciente interés científico y comercial por los alimentos funcionales, el presente artículo es una revisión de los principales efectos beneficiosos que sobre la salud humana se han descrito tras el consumo de los prebióticos, considerados como ingredientes funcionales. Una especial atención se presta al empleo de los oligosacáridos no digeribles (OND) al considerarse como compuestos de capacidad prebiótica. Dentro de los OND, los fructooligosacáridos, galactooligosacáridos y sojaoligosacáridos han sido los más ampliamente estudiados y los que han mostrado poseer un marcado efecto prebiótico (AU)


Because of the current scientific and commercial interest on functional foods, the present article reviews the main human health effects described after prebiotics consumption, considerate as functional ingredients. A special attention is paid to the use of non-digestible oligosaccharides (NDO) for being considered as prebiotic components. Within NDO group, fructooligosaccharides, galactooligosaccharides and soybean oligosaccharides have been the components more widely studied and they have shown to have a strong prebiotic effect (AU)


Assuntos
Humanos , Prebióticos/análise , Oligossacarídeos/análise , Polissacarídeos/análise , Alimento Funcional/análise , Galactose/análise , Frutose/análise , Alimentos de Soja/análise , Fitosteróis/análise , Carboidratos da Dieta/análise
14.
Eur Arch Psychiatry Clin Neurosci ; 253(4): 197-202, 2003 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12910351

RESUMO

Five factor analyses with limitations explored the Suicidal Intent Scale (SIS) subscales reflecting suicidal behavior dimensions. This larger sample study conducts an exploratory factor analysis of the SIS. Two large samples of suicide attempters (N= 435 and N= 252) from a general hospital were studied. The validity of SIS subscales obtained from the factor analysis was investigated by examining the association between the subscales and clinical variables. There were two factors: expected lethality and planning. In both samples, male gender and depression tended to be associated with higher scores in both subscales (small to medium effect sizes). Hospitalization was associated with higher scores in both SIS subscales (medium to large effects) suggesting that these subscales were reasonably good predictors of suicide attempt severity. Clinicians assessing patient reports to establish the severity of suicide attempts need to ask questions regarding both dimensions: expected lethality and planning.


Assuntos
Tentativa de Suicídio/psicologia , Suicídio/psicologia , Adulto , Comportamento , Análise Fatorial , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Escalas de Graduação Psiquiátrica , Recidiva , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Tentativa de Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos
17.
Actas Esp Psiquiatr ; 30(4): 259-62, 2002.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12217277

RESUMO

Zolpidem is an imidazopyridine, which acts at the benzodiacepine omega1 receptor subtype. Zolpidem was marketed as a short-acting hypnotic and it was assumed that had a lower potential for abuse than benzodiacepines. Since 1993, several cases of zolpidem dependence have been reported. We have observed three patients with abuse, dependence and withdrawal syndrome to zolpidem. Two of them had history of drugs abuse and all of them developed withdrawal symptoms when discontinuing it. In Spain, zolpidem may be sold without medical prescription like other non benzodiacepines hypnotics and it may be playing an important role in the increase of abuse cases. We think zolpidem should be considered as a benzodiacepine with the same control and regulation.


Assuntos
Hipnóticos e Sedativos , Piridinas , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/diagnóstico , Adulto , Tolerância a Medicamentos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Zolpidem
18.
Actas esp. psiquiatr ; 30(4): 259-262, jul. 2002.
Artigo em Es | IBECS | ID: ibc-13761

RESUMO

Zolpidem es una imidazopiridina que actúa a través del subtipo 1 del receptor de benzodiacepinas. Zolpidem fue comercializado como un hipnótico de acción corta y se asumía que tenía menor potencial de abuso que las benzodiacepinas. Desde 1993 se han publicado varios casos de dependencia de zolpidem. Nosotros hemos visto tres pacientes con abuso, dependencia y síndrome de retirada de zolpidem. Dos de ellos tenían historia de abuso de otras sustancias y todos ellos experimentaron síntomas de abstinencia cuando suspendieron la administración. En España, zolpidem puede adquirirse sin prescripción médica como otros hipnóticos no benzodiacepínicos, lo cual puede desempeñar un papel muy importante en el incremento de los casos de abuso. Creemos que zolpidem debe ser considerado como una benzodiacepina con el mismo control y regulación (AU)


Assuntos
Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Piridinas , Hipnóticos e Sedativos , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias , Tolerância a Medicamentos
20.
J Antimicrob Chemother ; 47(5): 623-9, 2001 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11328774

RESUMO

The efficacy of different antibiotics was compared in an experimental model of aortic valve endocarditis in rabbits, using a serotype 19 strain of Streptococcus pneumoniae resistant to penicillin (MIC 12 mg/L) and ceftriaxone (MIC 12 mg/L). The results were compared with those of a control group, which received no treatment. One hundred and nineteen animals were treated with one of the following antibiotic regimens: im procaine penicillin G at a dosage of 300,000 U/kg weight/12 h (16 animals); iv trovafloxacin, 13.3 mg/kg/12 h (31 animals); iv ceftriaxone, 75 mg/kg/24 h (21 animals); iv vancomycin, 20 mg/kg/12 h (15 animals) and im quinupristin-dalfopristin, 30 mg/kg/8 h (20 animals). All the antibiotics used in this study proved to be efficient in reducing numbers of S. pneumoniae and in increasing the percentage of aortic vegetations that were rendered sterile compared with the control group. Penicillin at the dosage used in our study was capable of achieving serum concentrations two or three times greater than the MIC, thus demonstrating its effectiveness as an antibiotic for this endocarditis model. No significant difference was observed between the effects of vancomycin, quinupristin-dalfopristin and penicillin. Vancomycin proved to be more efficient than trovofloxacin in reducing the bacterial load and increasing the numbers sterilized. There was also a tendency for this antibiotic to be more effective than ceftriaxone in reducing the bacterial load of the vegetations. There was a statistically significant correlation between the weight of the vegetations and their bacterial load. In the light of these results, vancomycin and quinupristin-dalfopristin may be considered suitable alternatives to penicillin for the treatment of penicillin-resistant S. pneumoniae endocarditis.


Assuntos
Endocardite Bacteriana/tratamento farmacológico , Fluoroquinolonas , Infecções Pneumocócicas/tratamento farmacológico , Animais , Anti-Infecciosos/uso terapêutico , Ceftriaxona/farmacologia , Ceftriaxona/uso terapêutico , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Resistência a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Endocardite Bacteriana/microbiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Naftiridinas/uso terapêutico , Resistência às Penicilinas , Penicilinas/uso terapêutico , Infecções Pneumocócicas/microbiologia , Coelhos , Streptococcus pneumoniae/efeitos dos fármacos , Streptococcus pneumoniae/isolamento & purificação , Vancomicina/uso terapêutico , Virginiamicina/uso terapêutico
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